2026 IRONMAN California - Andrew Cruz
QT2 Systems
Andrew Cruz
2026 IRONMAN California
2026 IRONMAN California: Race Execution Plan
Read This First
This is a guide, not a script. It is not meant to be memorized.
The ranges and cues are here to support your decisions, not to replace them. Conditions on the day and how you feel will shape what good execution looks like. Let them.
Race Purpose
This is your A race. It is what we have been building toward since last November.
Success on Sunday is a very strong full day. A good swim. A controlled, strong bike. Then a run that lets you use what you already know you have.
The power of your run is the weapon. You have a fantastic bike-run combination, and every decision on Sunday is about setting up the run so you can use it.
The run is where the magic happens. The bike makes it possible.
Trust the Work
You have done all the work. It has been really good, and it is plenty. You are in a great spot.
Look at the evidence. Your long rides this fall have come in around 190-205 W at a heart rate of 121-125. Sep 19 was, in my words at the time, a "beautiful HR response." Your long runs have built from the high 7s down into the 6:50s with control, week after week. You built a different, far more durable version of yourself this year.
And you did the strength work, year-round, for the first time. That is the glue that holds everything together.
Race week can make the nights a little restless. That is normal, and it does not take anything away from Sunday. When your head starts running through the race at night, let the work you have done be the thing that settles you. It is done. It is in the bank.
The 30,000-Foot Approach
- Ease into the swim. Build. Reach about 500 m able to lift the effort.
- Ride by feel inside 200-220 W. Stay under about 231 W.
- Stay smooth on rises and around other riders. Their race is not your race.
- Fuel the bike at 80-95 g/hr. Pee at least twice on the bike.
- Start the run at the slow end of your range and let it come to you.
- Patience. Your race is defined by run miles 13-26, not bike miles 10-30.
- In the back half of the marathon, collect what everyone else gives back.
- With 10K to go, all limits come off.
The Three Sections
Every distance on Sunday has three overlapping sections. Not two. Three.
Bike
- Miles 0-56: the first half.
- Miles 56-112: the second half.
- Miles 28-84: the middle middle.
Run
- Miles 0-13.1: the first half.
- Miles 13.1-26.2: the second half.
- Miles 6.5-19.5: the middle middle.
The middle middle is where focus quietly drifts. The start is exciting and the finish pulls you home. The middle has neither. Hold your focus across all three sections and you put yourself in a tremendous position to show your fitness.
Your Control System
Perception leads. The numbers are guardrails.
Bike
- Power: about 200-220 W. The whole range is good execution.
- Ceiling: stay under about 231 W. That includes the rises.
- Heart rate: about 125-132. This is your early check that you are not overcooking it.
Run
- Pace is primary: 7:10-7:50 per mile. The whole range is good execution.
- Outer allowance: out to about 8:00 when you need it, and down to about 7:00 later in the run if you are flying.
- STRYD power is your overcooking check: about 260-285 W. Out to about 250 W when you are easing, up to about 290 W later in the run if you are flying.
- Pace and STRYD power: no winner. Be aware of both. If they ever disagree and you have to choose, your perceived exertion decides.
- With 10K to go, all limits come off.
These are wide on purpose. The slow end is never failure. It is a tool. Use it when the day asks for it, and it lets you come back to the faster end later.
The numbers on your TrainingPeaks race-day cards are there for carb math. For pacing and fueling on Sunday, use this plan.
Wind changes bike speed. Turns, bridges and city streets make run pace jumpy. None of that is a verdict.
Not Phenomenal All Day
You will not feel phenomenal all day. Nobody does over 140.6 miles.
There will be stretches that feel flat, heavy or just ordinary. That is normal IRONMAN racing, not a sign that something is wrong. Those stretches are exactly what the wide ranges are for. Go to the easier end, keep doing your thing, and let it pass.
A good day may not look or feel good until the back half of the marathon. Stay patient.
Quietly Fierce
When you race well, you are quietly fierce. Assassin's focus, all day, without any noise.
The key word is patience.
On the bike, people will go hard around you. Some will blow by on rises, some will surge past and then sit up. Let them. Stay focused on yourself and use your guardrails.
Your race is not defined by bike miles 10-30. It is defined by run miles 13-26. That is where you will spend a lot of time mowing people down. You will not need to attack anyone. You will be collecting what everyone else is giving back.
Fueling and Hydration
Bike: 80-95 g/hr. Consistency over precision. You do not need to micromanage it. Use what works for you.
Run: 50-65 g/hr. 65 is a ceiling, not a must-hit. A well-fueled bike gives you a buffer, so a few miles off plan on the run is fine.
Electrolytes: your full routine, as practiced.
Pee at least twice on the bike. Two to three times puts you in a great position to run well. More is fine.
Before T2: you have the freedom not to fuel in the last 15 minutes or so of the bike. It has worked for you. If you want to fuel then, you can. Fluids are yours to manage.
Dry Heat
Sunday may be warm and dry. Forecasts change, so check it race week. But if it stays dry, know this: dry air takes your sweat away almost as fast as you make it. You will not feel soaked the way you do at home, so you will not get the usual "wet" reminder to drink.
You own your drinking. Be diligent about it all day, and let the pee count tell you how you are doing.
On the run, use ice and sponges if they are there. Heart rate may drift up a little in the heat. That is expected, not alarming.
Caffeine
Caffeine is a buoy.
Hold it early. Race day is high energy, and the swim and early bike bring plenty of stimulus. You do not need anything lowering perceived effort there.
Use it when the effort starts to rise. That is when it earns its place. It takes about 20-25 minutes to kick in, so take it a little ahead of when you expect to want the lift.
Same rule on the run.
For you, that means delaying caffeine as long as you can, then building it in. Your usual routine alternates caffeinated and non-caffeinated fuel. On Sunday, keep it non-caffeinated early, and bring the caffeine in as the effort rises.
Race Week and Race Morning
- Get in the water before race day if you can. The guide lists an official practice swim on Friday, October 16, 10 AM to 1 PM at Tiscornia Park (check in before noon; wristband and chip required). Confirm it is on, and go. Swim the American River or the official practice, not the Sacramento River on your own.
- Bike check-in is Saturday, October 17. Bike shoes and helmet go in the blue bike gear bag. Shoes are not pre-clipped.
- Race morning: transition and personal-needs drop are 4:30 to 6:30 AM. The athlete-only shuttles to the swim start run 5 to 6:30 AM. Go early and leave yourself a buffer.
- The wetsuit call is made on race morning. Be ready for it.
Swim
Rolling start from Township 9 Park, downstream on the American River into the Sacramento River, past I Street Bridge, to an exit on the west bank north of Tower Bridge.
Seed yourself where you can start without fighting for space.
Ease in. Get your breathing settled and find your rhythm before anything else. Then build into the swim. Position yourself so you can increase the effort as you go.
By about 500 m, you want to be able to lift the effort, not holding on. That is the whole swim plan in one line.
The current may help, or it may not. Either way the effort is the same. Watch where the river joins and sight deliberately. Stay inside the marked course.
Spot the exit early, stand when it is safe, and move to transition calmly.
Cue: Ease in. Build. Lift at 500 m.
T1
Shoes and helmet from the bag. Safe mount. Settle your breathing in the first few minutes on the bike.
Bike - 30,000-Foot Approach
Two laps of about 56 miles, 112 miles total, 710 feet of stated gain. Flat, but not free. Steady pedaling and long stretches in aero add up.
Ride by feel inside 200-220 W, and stay under about 231 W. Heart rate around 125-132 tells you early that you are not overcooking it.
Rises and other riders are where spikes happen. Keep the power smooth on any rise. When people go hard around you, let them. Twelve meters of space, finish passes within 25 seconds, and drop back out of the zone when you are passed.
You do not need to lock into aero for five hours straight. It is fine to come out of aero now and then, change muscles, and reset your head. Adjust where and how you sit through the day.
Lap one is not a test. Lap two is not automatic permission.
Rust-Shaking Protocol (Available, Not Required)
You know this one. It is here if you need it. If the legs come out of the water ready, skip it.
Flat early bike legs do not mean the race is gone. After a controlled taper, assume rust first, not fatigue.
Use this only when your race output feels unusually hard and your perceived effort is way out of proportion. Wait until you are clear of the opening turns and traffic.
- Assume rust. Do not force your race watts just because they are on the plan. Forcing them when perceived effort is already spiked usually makes things worse.
- Shake it loose. Do several ~30-second sharp, purposeful accelerations. Not all-out sprints. Full, controlled recovery between them. Think "AED for the legs." You can include lower-cadence jolts. Recover and reassess. Repeat a small round if needed. There is no power limit on these when you use them for this. The 231 W ceiling is for racing, not for Rust-Shaking.
- Reassess. If the legs come in, return progressively to normal race execution. Do not try to repay the opening minutes by over-riding.
- Under-ride if still flat. If the legs stay flat after the pops, ride below your range for a stretch and let the effort come to life.
Unusually high heart rate, real breathlessness, pain or dizziness are not rust. Respect those.
Cue: Flat early is not flat all day. Find the bike before you race the bike.
Riverfront, Mill, Village Parkway and Gregory
Turns, traffic, and a heart rate still coming down from the swim. Ride clean. Settle your cadence and breathing, and start your fueling once you are riding safely.
Babel Slough and Jefferson (CA-84)
Open road. Settle into 200-220 W in a position you know. This is where the day starts to take shape. Get the fueling rhythm going and start drinking.
Courtland, Ryer and Holland
Quieter rural roads, with turns and possible exposure. Eat and drink before the busier handling bits, when it is safe. Quiet roads are where intake gets forgotten.
Miner Slough Bridge and the Southern Turnaround
Control your line, gear and speed. Come out of aero if you need to. Ease before the turn and accelerate smoothly out of it. No surges.
The Return
Wind may have changed. Let speed be what it is. Stay in your range, stay smooth, keep feeding.
Ballpark and Riverfront, About Mile 56
Halfway on the bike. Confirm the lap-two route. Check in: fueling on track? First pee done? Heart rate and effort where they should be? Body comfortable in position? If yes, keep riding your race.
Lap Two
The middle middle runs right through here. The same watts may start to cost a bit more, and the wind may have shifted. If the cost rises, use the lower end of the range. Low heart rate on its own is not a reason to push harder.
Keep eating, keep drinking. The second pee belongs on the bike.
Back to Transition
The last miles are still the bike. Keep control and do not sprint home. In the last 15 minutes or so, you are free to stop fueling, as you have done in training. Fuel if you want to. Manage your fluids as you see fit.
T2
Arrive with:
- Legs that can run
- Energy aboard and a settled stomach
- Body temperature under control
- Clear thinking
- Confidence in the run you are about to use
Run - 30,000-Foot Approach
Two laps, 26.2 miles, 394 feet of stated gain. The laps are different shapes, so do not think of it as two equal halves. Follow the signs for your lap, not the runners around you.
Start the first few miles at the slow end of your range. As you feel better, ratchet it up. If you feel amazing, move toward the fast end. If you do not, use the whole range, slow end included. It all counts.
Pace and STRYD power both matter. Be aware of both. If you ever have to choose, your perceived exertion decides. STRYD power is there to tell you if you are overcooking it.
Hamstring
You have done the strength work all year. Manage the hamstring. Do not do anything that might flare it or let it get worse; that is the kind of thing that can shut a day down. If it shows itself, manage it the way you already know how: slow down briefly and let it dissipate. Then get back to your rhythm.
The fast end, around 7:00, is fine if it is there. Do not force it. If you are there, be increasingly aware that this is the pace where the hamstring has spoken up before, and be careful.
T2 and the Southern Excursion (Lap One Only)
Fresh legs off the bike make early pace feel cheap. Stay at the slow end. Get your fueling rhythm going.
West River and Levee, North
A long corridor that can get quiet. Run aid to aid. Fuel, drink, cool.
Tower Bridge and the East-Side River Trail
Crowds, a bridge and turns. Keep the effort steady through all of it. Settle back into rhythm after each one.
First Capitol Mall Visit, Around Mile 14
The finish area energy will be loud. This is not the finish. Turn, head back, and keep doing your thing.
Lap Two Start, Around Mile 16
Back on the west side. No southern excursion this time. This is the back half, and this is your part of the race. Check in: mechanics, fueling, stomach, heat, head. If they are intact, start moving toward the fast end.
Lap Two North and East
Collect what everyone else is giving back. You do not need to attack anyone. Keep running your rhythm and the race will come to you.
The Final 10K
With 10K to go, all limits come off. No ranges, no ceilings. You can do anything you want.
One caution still stands: err on the side of caution with the hamstring.
The Final City Miles and Capitol Mall
Make the final turn to the finish on the right lap, and take it home.
Strategic Walking
A few walking steps through an aid station to get fuel, fluid or ice in is a tool, not a failure. Use it when it helps, then get back to running.
Three Moments to Rehearse
You have already seen these. Here are the short versions. Read them this week, picture them, and know what you will do.
Forgotten Fuel or Electrolytes at Race Start
The moment: You reach into your gear bag or your bento box, and it hits you. Something is missing. Gels, electrolytes, a bottle still in the car. There is no getting it back.
What it sounds like: "I screwed up." "I've sabotaged myself before I even started." The mistake feels heavy and your mind jumps ahead to everything that could go wrong.
Anchor: "This is not ideal, but it's not unrecoverable. I can adapt."
What you do:
- Stop. Breathe. Don't rush into action.
- Name exactly what is missing.
- Ask: what can I replace at the venue or from someone else?
- Decide how to adjust: lean more on the aid stations, shift to the on-course drink, space your intake differently.
- Commit to the new plan calmly and clearly.
- Let the old plan go. The new one is active.
Re-entry: You are on the bike. The plan is not what you expected, but it is solid. You grab aid station nutrition with precision, time your sips, and track your needs. Calm, focused, still racing.
"I don't need everything to go right. I need to go forward." A calm head is a better asset than any bottle.
Sloshy Stomach or Over-Fueling Mid-Race
The moment: Your stomach feels full or bloated. Fluids are sloshing. Breathing feels harder. Maybe the gels came too close together, or you kept sipping past the point of fullness.
What it sounds like: "I think I overdid it." "There's no way I can keep taking more in." "Now I'll run out of energy later." Suddenly the fueling plan feels like a trap instead of a tool.
Anchor: "I have time. I can manage this. My job is to give my stomach space."
What you do:
- Back off the intensity some. Let your body catch up to your intake.
- Hold off on more calories or fluid for the next 10-15 minutes.
- Breathe deep and tall: 3-count inhale, 4-count exhale.
- Open your torso. Loosen your grip, straighten your posture.
- Picture your stomach absorbing what is there.
- Re-time your next intake with a longer buffer than planned.
Re-entry: You are still moving. You give your system space, then return to fueling slower, smarter and responsive. Your race is intact.
Over-fueling is a pause, not a problem, if you manage it well.
Cramping Begins Mid-Race (Hamstring, Calf, etc.)
The moment: The unmistakable twitch. An early warning in your calf, hamstring or quad. Not a full cramp yet, but threatening. You still have miles to go.
What it sounds like: "This could shut me down." "If this locks up, I'm done." Your body tightens up everywhere, not just in that muscle.
Anchor: "This is a signal, not a sentence. I still have time to respond, if I do it calmly."
What you do:
- Back off effort. Not dramatically, just enough to reduce tension.
- Breathe deeper, especially through the cramp-prone area.
- Adjust form. Hamstring: shorten stride. Calf: heel contact and soft turnover. Quad: upright torso and stable core.
- Take in targeted electrolytes, if available.
- Keep moving. A gentle pace is better than standing still.
Re-entry: The tightness softens. It may not vanish. You are still running, still riding, still racing. You adjusted, calmly.
A cramp is feedback, not failure. Listen. Adapt. Hold formation.
If a cramp comes with chest pain, confusion, severe dizziness, or anything that feels wrong in a different way, it is not a cramp to manage. Stop and get on-course medical help.
If Things Go Sideways
Notice it. Stabilize. Fix the one thing. Reassess.
- Stomach goes sour: back off the intensity some, simplify intake, then rebuild.
- High heart rate for the watts or pace: ease off, drink, cool, then reassess.
- Headwind or gusts: ease if needed, hold a safe position, wait for a calm moment to reach for bottles. Let speed change.
- Missed aid station or bag: use what you carry and the next station. No big catch-up feed.
- Not sure which lap you are on: follow the official lap signs, or ask a marshal. Do not follow other runners.
- Slow swim, penalty, mechanical: solve it and go back to your plan. Never try to win back lost time.
Chest pain, collapse, confusion, or being unable to keep your balance: stop and get on-course medical help. That is not something to push through.
Quick-Reference Race Card
- A guide, not a script. Patience.
- Swim: ease in, build, lift at 500 m.
- Bike: 200-220 W by feel. Stay under about 231 W.
- HR about 125-132: the early overcooking check.
- Smooth on rises and around others. Their race is not yours.
- Out of aero now and then is fine.
- Bike fuel: 80-95 g/hr. Pee at least twice, 2-3 is ideal.
- Dry air: no sweat cue to drink. You own your drinking.
- Caffeine is a buoy. Delay it as long as you can, then build.
- Last 15 minutes of the bike: free to skip fueling. Your call. Fluids are yours.
- Run pace: 7:10-7:50. Start at the slow end.
- STRYD power: 260-285 W as the overcooking check.
- Pace and STRYD power: no winner. If forced to choose, perceived exertion decides.
- Outer allowance: about 8:00 / 250 W easing; about 7:00 / 290 W later and flying.
- Run fuel: 50-65 g/hr. 65 is a ceiling.
- Hamstring: manage it. Speaks? Slow briefly, let it pass. Careful near 7:00.
- Three sections: halves plus the middle middle.
- First Capitol Mall visit is not the finish.
- Miles 13-26: collect what others give back.
- 10K to go: all limits off.
Finish
Stay patient all day.
Everything before the back half of the marathon is about putting yourself in a position to fully show what you have on the run. Be quietly fierce. Let the day come to you. Then use it.
Believe in the work.
Believe in your run.
Now go execute.
